Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.013839 0.015522 0.017224 0.019069 0.021007 0.022977 0.025127
2025-05-11 0.010703 0.013298 0.016046 0.019142 0.022508 0.026035 0.029987
2025-05-18 0.008794 0.011846 0.015192 0.019068 0.023379 0.027980 0.033219
2025-05-25 0.007176 0.010494 0.014256 0.018726 0.023797 0.029296 0.035637
2025-06-01 0.006020 0.009532 0.013641 0.018633 0.024394 0.030720 0.038092
2025-06-08 0.004966 0.008573 0.012936 0.018355 0.024708 0.031769 0.040074
2025-06-15 0.004221 0.007920 0.012533 0.018374 0.025317 0.033108 0.042342
2025-06-22 0.003436 0.007124 0.011891 0.018056 0.025489 0.033914 0.043977
2025-06-29 0.002696 0.006301 0.011151 0.017567 0.025418 0.034409 0.045227
2025-07-06 0.001930 0.005325 0.010139 0.016683 0.024830 0.034267 0.045718
2025-07-13 0.001657 0.005074 0.010071 0.016970 0.025637 0.035739 0.048048
2025-07-20 0.001308 0.004641 0.009721 0.016872 0.025958 0.036624 0.049688
2025-07-27 0.000917 0.004076 0.009184 0.016557 0.026062 0.037321 0.051199
2025-08-03 0.000676 0.003743 0.008967 0.016666 0.026702 0.038675 0.053503
2025-08-10 0.000451 0.003359 0.008635 0.016591 0.027092 0.039710 0.055416
2025-08-17 0.000245 0.002903 0.008145 0.016273 0.027150 0.040330 0.056828
2025-08-24 0.000124 0.002583 0.007839 0.016186 0.027490 0.041278 0.058617
2025-08-31 0.000036 0.002224 0.007428 0.015927 0.027588 0.041921 0.060031
2025-09-07 0.000005 0.001997 0.007220 0.015945 0.028038 0.042984 0.061940
2025-09-14 NaN 0.001683 0.006813 0.015648 0.028058 0.043508 0.063193
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001352 0.006319 0.015193 0.027849 0.043734 0.064078
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000961 0.005613 0.014371 0.027120 0.043291 0.064140
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000891 0.005607 0.014637 0.027863 0.044693 0.066433